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| Technical Analysis |
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| Written by John Robinson | |
| Thursday, 26 November 2009 | |
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Trading forex online requires that you get a basic grasp of the various concepts that make the formulation of forex strategies possible. We create strategies through analysis, and of the two major schools of forex analysis, fundamental and technical, technical analysis is the more popular, and also the subject of this article.
1. What is technical analysis? Technical analysis is simply the study of price trends, and their interpretation in a way that will generate trade signals for our exploitation. Technical analysis has nothing to do with market fundamentals economic realities, government policies or the causes of the economic events. Technical analysis does not concern itself with these externals, and cannot really say much about them either. It regards the price action as the alpha and omega of trading, so to speak, and focuses on this aspect of the markets to the exclusion of everything else. Although, of course, there are traders who utilize hybrid approaches to trading and try to combine the fundamental and technical aspects to reach at a more efficient style.
2. Is it really reliable? Technical analysis is not especially reliable as a predictor of future trends. It only determines if the market positioning in a currency pair, for example, is extreme or not, but it cannot say when that extreme positioning will break down.
3. Successfully implementing technical analysis is dependent on money management As such, and this is the point of our article, the successful implementation of money management methods is crucial for achieving good results with technical analysis. We know from the beginning that some of our results obtained through the application of TA will be flawed and lead to losses. That is a given. Our goal is using money management methods to limit those losses as much as possible in order to let our successful positions more than justify our losses over the long term. Indeed, this is the most important aspect of technical trading, and every trader must improve his understanding of analysis to incorporate this aspect in order to achieve optimal results.
4. For short-term trading, TA is the only tool While TA has flaws, for short term trading it is the only tool for a majority of traders. The major variables of fundamental analysis, such as current account,.trade flows, or central banks decisions have most of the time little relevance for short-term price action, and when they do, it is hard to analyze them. Technical analysis is therefore the most popular tool for trading on a short term basis.
A forex broker comparison on the basis of technical tools available and their ease of use is probably essential if you have the desire to use this strategy in your trading. Through trial and error with mini accounts, and by reading reliable forex broker reviews, you will be able to find the broker most suitable to your expectations, and the rest is up to you from then on.
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Risk Warning (Disclaimer): Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Investatech Inc., its employees or the authors of this website cannot be held responsible for any losses occured to you due to trading forex or taking advice from this website. Trade at your own discretion. |
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| Last Updated ( Thursday, 26 November 2009 ) |
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